ارزيابي و مقايسه روشهاي منطق فازي و تحليل سلسلهمراتبي در رتبهبندي و تحليل کمي خطرهاي ايمني مطالعه موردي: يک نيروگاه سيکل ترکيبي
ارتقای ایمنی و پیشگیری از مصدومیت ها,
دوره 3 شماره 3 (2015),
30 March 2016
,
صفحه 174 - 169
https://doi.org/10.22037/meipm.v3i3.7214
چکیده
سابقه و هدف: پيشگيري از وقوع حوادث و حفظ سرمايه انساني بهعنوان محور اصلي توسعه هر کشور، از اهميت بالايي برخوردار ميباشد. اين مطالعه باهدف بهرهگيري از مناسبترين تکنيکهاي موجود جهت شناسايي خطرات و ارزيابي خطر، در راستاي ارتقاء سطح ايمني، کاهش حوادث و هزينهها و صرفهجويي در زمان، انجامشده است.
روش بررسي: در اين مطالعه، جهت شناسايي خطرات، از مرور مستندات، مصاحبه با متخصصين، برگزاري جلسات طوفان فكري، دانش و تجربه گروهي از کارشناسان مهندسي ايمني و بهداشت حرفهاي استفاده شد. درنهايت خطرها بر اساس درجه باورپذيري در منطق فازي و روش تحليل سلسلهمراتبي رتبهبندي و مقايسه گرديد.
يافتهها: از 11 مورد خطري که در مطالعه حاضر شناسايي شد، انفجار و آتشسوزي توربين گاز و ترکيدگي لولههاي بخار تحتفشار، رتبه اول و سقوط در تانکها، مخازن و کانالها در رتبه دوم قرار گرفتند. همچنين مشخص شد نتايج حاصل از دو روش مورداستفاده در اين پژوهش، باهم ديگر همخواني داشته و منطبق هستند.
نتيجهگيري: استفاده از منطق فازي در کنار روشهاي تصميمگيري چندمعياره ازجمله روش تحليل سلسلهمراتبي، رويکردي مناسب و مکمل جهت تعيين اولويتهاي کنترلي در سيستم اي ايمني، فراهم ميسازد. درواقع زماني که تصميم گيران در تعيين دادههاي سازگار، اتفاقنظر داشته باشند، استفاده از اين دو روش بهصورت مستقل، نتايج يکسان در رتبهبندي خطر در پي خواهد داشت.
نحوه استناد به مقاله:
Askaripoor T, Kazemi E, Aghaei H, Marzban M. Evaluating and Comparison of Fuzzy Logic and Analytical Hierarchy Process in Ranking and Quantitative Safety Risk Analysis (Case Study: A combined cycle power plant). J Saf Promot Inj Prev. 2015; 3(3):169-74.
- تحليل سلسلهمراتبي
- منطق فازي
- نيروگاه سيکل ترکيبي
- ارزيابي خطر
- حوادث
ارجاع به مقاله
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